The market is not dead. Understandably it is slowing down as expected, but there are still buyers out there capitalizing on better homes at better prices and targeting the crazy interest rates as they have time.
The real estate market in Washington remains strong. Many brokers are conducting virtual showings for clients and hosting virtual open houses for potential buyers. In addition to property photos, many listings have virtual tours where potential buyers can view videos and even remotely "walk-through" the property. Brokers are also continuing to conduct in-person showings, while remaining cognizant of social distancing recommendations. Over the last 24 hours in King County, 159 listing went pending. Meaning mutually accepted offers were agreed upon. In addition, 29 listings sold and 45 homes either came to or were put back on the market.
Like many sectors of the economy, residential real estate is experiencing disruption and uncertainty just when the vigorous spring market was ramping up. Housing activity around Western Washington in March showed the volume of new listings added during the month surpassed February’s total, as did both pending and closed sales. Year-over-year prices increased. The local real estate market experienced a bit of turbulence in late March as the coronavirus crisis evolved. Following statewide orders, the market virtually paused for a few days, but began picking up after real estate guidelines were adjusted to support social distancing,” he remarked.
The market is not totally stopped, but around half the business is on hold. And we’re creeping along right now. Despite limitations brokers added 10,291 new listings to the database during March, outgaining February by 2,505 listings (up 31.2%) and nearly matching the year-ago number (10,516). At the end of March, there were 9,418 active listings in the database, a drop of nearly 22% from twelve months ago, but a gain of 23% from February. Area-wide, there was 1.4 months of supply, but it ranged from less than a month in both Snohomish and Thurston counties to more than nine months in San Juan County.
The strong number of new listings and new sales is caused by low interest rates and more technology jobs. The residential housing inventory will remain low and demand high.
An Economist at a major bank who expects demand for single family homes will remain high “as buyers will not want to be jammed together.” Pending sales (mutually accepted offers) slowed during March, dropping about 13.5% from a year ago. Brokers reported 8,880 pending sales during the month, which compares to 10,261 for the same month a year ago. Compared to February, pendings rose by 525 transactions. Many buyers and sellers’ real estate needs continued despite coronavirus concerns, pressure from the short supply of listings dropped off as the “Stay Home, Stay Healthy” order was implemented, but buyers who previewed and pre-inspected properties before the order made offers in a climate of less competition. Buyers found an opportunity to insert more standard and normal conditions in their offers, reminiscent of a slower, balanced market.
Within the Puget Sound region, only King County reported a gain; closed sales there were up about 7% from a year ago, with condo closings surging more than 20%. System-wide, closings were nearly even with a year ago (6,735 versus 6,750), a reflection of strong activity at the start of the year. Median prices on last month’s completed transactions rose 10.3% from a year ago, increasing from $415,950 to $458,900. Only two counties (San Juan and Ferry) reported year-over-year price drops.
The use of virtual showings and web site viewings are experiencing record traffic as potential buyers utilize today’s advanced, remote viewing tools. The good news is that it’s a great time now for both buyers and sellers. Buyers have access to extremely low interest rates and those sellers in the market are motivated. For sellers, the continued low inventory and expected slowing of new listings over the next few weeks means their homes can be seen now like never before. With social distancing guidelines in place, buyers and sellers can take advantage of historically low interest rates in the mid-threes. With inventory shortages in many price ranges, the focus remains on each new listing. Though our business practices have adjusted, we’re seeing sales activity starting to pick back up. The Puget Sound was in a strong position when COVID-19 hit and will be set to flourish again once this situation has passed. Mortgage rates have been making some unusual moves over the past few weeks and are highly likely to retest historic lows in the next few months. Real estate professionals across all markets have stepped to the plate providing resources to their clients and the public at large in a time when there is so much noise and misinformation.
Although the stock market has certainly created and affected great wealth, real estate investment provides tangible value with shelter, comfort and places to conduct our business enterprises. The inherent benefits and qualities of real estate ensure long range value and provide tangible proof of its place in our economy as an alternative gold standard
Note On March 17, in accordance with an emergency declaration by Gov. Inslee limiting the size of public gatherings. Brokers were urged to restrict in-person engagements and advised that limited personal interactions to show properties when necessary were permitted by appointment only with no more than two people, including the broker. Additionally, those two persons must strictly follow CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) social distancing guidelines.
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